China's Hot-Rolled Coil Exports Ratidza Resilience Pakati Pekutengeserana Frictions
Zvisinei nekukwira kwekuchengetedzwa kwekutengeserana kwepasirese uye matanho akasimba ekurwisa kurasa mumisika mikuru, yeChina Kupisa-yakakungurutswa Coil zvinotengeswa kunze zvichiri kuratidza kusimba kwakasimba kuburikidza nemaitiro anoshanduka. Idzi data ichangoburwa inoratidza kuti vhoriyamu yekupisa-yakakungurutswa yecoil kutumira kunze kwenyika muna Zvita yakasvika 1.157 miriyoni matani, mwedzi-pa-mwedzi kuwedzera kwe8.4%, uye maitiro ezvigayo zvesimbi anomhanya kuzadzisa chinangwa chegore negore pakupera kwegore zvinoshamisa.
Mamiriro ekunze emakoiri ekuChina anopisa akawedzera kusimba muna 2025. Misika yechinyakare yakaita seVietnam neSouth Korea yakatevedzana yakaunza matanho ekurwisa kurasa marara: Vietnam yakatemesa mabasa e23.10% kusvika 27.83% pamakoiri akafaranuka uye akatanga ongororo yeanti-circumvention-2% yeSouth Korea, 9% kusvika ku34.10% pamapuleti anorema anopisa anoenderana. Zvichikanganiswa neizvi, kuwedzera kweChina kutengesa kunze kwenyika kwemakoiri anopisa kubva munaNdira kusvika Gunyana kwakadzikira ne17.7% gore negore.
Takatarisana nezvipingamupinyi zvekutengeserana, mabhizinesi epamba apindura nesimba: iyo Southeast Asia transshipment modhi yakaramba ichipisa. Kunyangwe kutakurwa kuburikidza nemahubs akadai sePort Klang kuMalaysia neSingapore kunoda imwe mari yemadhora makumi manomwe kusvika makumi mapfumbamwe emadhora ekuAmerica patani, ichine zvakanakira hupfumi zvichienzaniswa nemabasa ekurwisa kurasa, kubatsira mabhizinesi kuchengetedza vatengi vepakati.
Nepo kufambiswa kwenguva pfupi kuchirerutsa kudzvanywa, mabhizinesi ari kusimudzira marongero emisika yenguva refu. Misika iri kusimukira yakaita seMiddle East, Africa neSouth America yave injini dzekukura itsva. Kudiwa kwezvivakwa munyika dzeMiddle East dzakadai seSaudi Arabia kwakasimba, kutangwa kwemapurojekiti makuru ezvivakwa munyika zhinji dzemuAfrica kwakonzera kukwira kukuru kwesimbi kubva kunze kwenyika, uye kudiwa muSouth America kwakawedzerawo zvishoma nezvishoma. Panyaya yekugoverwa kwedunhu, huwandu hwehurongwa hwekutengesa kunze kwenyika hweNortheast simbi mill hwakaramba hwakakwira mwedzi uno, ukuwo hweEast China, North China neSouth China zvigayo zvesimbi zvakaramba zvakagadzikana.
Kuvandudzwa kwechigadzirwa ihwowo chinhu chinokosha pakuputsa mamiriro acho ezvinhu: mabhizimisi akawedzera mari muR & D uye kutengesa kunze kwesimbi yakakosha, uye panguva imwe chete inotumira kunze kwehafu-yakapera zvigadzirwa zvakadai semabhiliti esimbi kuti adzivise mitero. Kubva munaNdira kusvika Gunyana 2025, simbi yekuChina inotengeswa kunze kwenyika yakawedzera ne214% gore-pagore, uye mamwe akatakurwa mushure mekugadziriswa muSoutheast Asia, achigadzira cheni nyowani yekutengesa.
Indasitiri vemukati vanoongorora kuti kusimba kweChina inopisa-yakakungurutswa coil inotengeswa kunze kwenyika kunobva kune matatu makuru anotsigira: chekutanga, kuwedzeredzwa kwechido chekuburitsa kunze kwenyika pasi pekupa mudzimba uye kugadziridzwa kwezvinodiwa, uye kuderera kwekudiwa kwezvivakwa kwaita kuti zvigayo zvesimbi zviende kumusika wepasirese; chechipiri, iyo yakakosha mutengo mukana. Kubva musi wa 27 Gumiguru, mutengo wekuChina wekutengesa koiri unopisa (FOB) waive madhora zana nemakumi matatu emadhora ekuAmerica patani yakaderera pane mitengo yekunze yeEuropean Union neUnited States zvichiteerana; chechitatu, mabhizinesi ane nzira dzekupindura dzinochinjika, uye mhedzisiro yekumisikidzwa kwakasiyana yakatanga kuoneka.